Showing posts with label Taj Gibson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Taj Gibson. Show all posts

Friday, January 23, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 23rd)

To fit higher-priced studs like Kevin Durant or James Harden into your DFS lineups, it's important to identify lower-priced options to provide some salary-cap relief.

In our DraftKings value posts, we will highlight players with salaries of $6,500 or less. The average salary of the $50,000 cap is $6,250 so the vast majority of the players referenced below are priced below the average salary.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Friday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at NYK), $5,400: With the return of Tobias Harris, Payton played just shy of 30 minutes on Wednesday instead of the 35-plus he had averaged over his previous five games. But he was still productive as he finished with eight points, eight assists, four rebounds and three steals for 28.5 fantasy points. Over his past five, he's averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 assists, 4.4 rebounds and 2.4 steals per game.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (vs. ORL), $4,100: Getting another start on Wednesday, the results were identical for Galloway, who has now scored exactly 32.25 fantasy points in back-to-back outings. In his six games with the Knicks, Galloway has played 30-plus minutes three times and has scored 30-plus fantasy points in all three of those games.

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SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (at MIN), $5,500: With Jrue Holiday out for a few more weeks, Gordon should continue to see plenty of minutes and production. Gordon has now scored more than 20 fantasy points in eight consecutive games including 41.75 last night. During that eight-game span, Gordon has averaged 35 minutes, 15.88 points, 4.75 assists and 3.38 rebounds per game with a steal in seven of those eight games. In addition, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season than the T'Wolves.

SG - J.R. Smith, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. CHA), $5,000: Excluding his debut with the Cavs, Smith has averaged more than 35 minutes and just shy of 30 fantasy points (29.32) per game. Over that seven-game stretch, Smith has averaged 16.71 points and 3.14 three-pointers, 3.86 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game. One of the concerns with Smith, however, is that Iman Shumpert is expected to make his debut with the Cavs tonight.

SF - P.J. Tucker, Phoenix Suns (vs. HOU), $4,200: Not only should this be a high-scoring game (220.5 over/under), but it should be close as well (two-point spread) and that should lead to plenty of fantasy upside. Only the Warriors are projected to score more points than the Suns, but that game has loads of blowout potential with Golden State favored by 15.5 points. Tucker's minutes and those of other Suns can fluctuate a lot, but Tucker doesn't need to score to be productive. As an example, he had just three (real) points on Wednesday, but he still scored 36.75 fantasy points with 13 rebounds, five assists, four steals and one block.

SF - Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks (vs. CHI), $5,900: Although the first matchup went into double-overtime, Parsons had one of his five games with 40-plus fantasy points this season against the Bulls on Dec. 2nd. While he likely won't score 40 fantasy points again, he has now scored at least 30.5 fantasy points in three consecutive games. If you decide to not pay up for someone like KD, Parsons is one of the better mid-priced options at the position tonight.

PF - Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks (vs. CHI), $6,400: Reaching 35 minutes only three times this season, Nowitzki may lack the upside to be a strong tournament play, but his consistency and salary make him a solid option in cash games. Although Nowitzki is averaging slightly less than 30 minutes per game, he has scored more than 20 fantasy points in 21 consecutive games with an average of 30.83 during that span.

PF - Taj Gibson, Chicago Bulls (at DAL), $6,100: If Joakim Noah misses another game tonight, Gibson remains a strong option. Over his past five games, he is averaging more than 37 minutes per game with 11.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (vs. TOR), $5,300: Before missing Wednesday's game with flu-like symptoms, Noel has been getting consistent playing time with 30-plus minutes in six of his past seven games. Over his past four games, Noel has averaged 11.75 points, 8.25 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 2.25 blocks per game. Noel needs 31.8 fantasy points to reach six times his salary and he has scored 31.5 or more fantasy points in three of his past four games.

PF - Jason Smith, New York Knicks (vs. ORL), $3,900: Smith has scored more than 25 fantasy points in back-to-back games with at least 32 minutes in each contest. With a top-10 matchup against the Magic, Smith should be able to easily reach value on Friday night assuming he gets another heavy dose of minutes.

PF - Brandon Bass, Boston Celtics (at DEN), $3,300: Getting a start and more than 30 minutes on Thursday, Bass had his first double-double of the season with 13 points, 10 rebounds and five assists as well as a steal and a block. Even if they are showcasing him for a trade, Bass has now scored at least 22 fantasy points in three consecutive games including 38.0 last night and is a solid low-priced option. In addition, few teams allow more fantasy points to opposing bigs than the Nuggets.

C - Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. CHA), $5,100: Mozgov played a seven-game high of 39 minutes on Wednesday since being acquired by the Cavs and finished with his consecutive double-double. In his past two games, he's averaging 15.5 points, 13.0 rebounds (6.0 OREB/G), two blocks and one steal per game and 39.0 fantasy points per game. And LeBron James has referred to Mozgov as being a "walking double-double."

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. HOU), $4,600: There are some concerns with Len's foot tendinitis, less than 20 minutes of playing time in back-to-back games and potential foul trouble against Dwight Howard. That said, Len was averaging 29.18 fantasy points per game before his disappointing 11.25 outing on Wednesday.

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Thursday, January 22, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 22nd)

To fit higher-priced studs into your DFS lineups, it's important to identify lower-priced options to provide some salary-cap relief.

In our DraftKings value posts, we will highlight players with salaries of $6,500 or less. The average salary of their $50,000 cap is $6,250 so the vast majority of the players referenced below are priced below the average salary.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Thursday's NBA games:

PG - Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs (at CHI), $5,800: Against the Nuggets on Tuesday, Parker had 18 points, seven assists and four rebounds to score 33.5 fantasy points. He now has 33 fantasy points in two of his past three games. The Spurs are projected to score the third-most points tonight behind the Clippers and Blazers, but their matchup has the lowest point spread (-5) of the night so hopefully the game stays close and Parker sees a full allotment of minutes.

PG - Jarrett Jack, Brooklyn Nets (at LAC), $6,200: The matchup against Chris Paul is far from favorable as the Clippers allow the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing point guards. In his past three games, Jack has scored 49.5, 38.5 and 35.5 fantasy points, respectively, and he's averaging 21.3 points, 7.7 assists and 1.7 steals during that span. In addition, Jack has averaged more than 37 minutes per game over his past nine games and Deron Williams (ribs) will miss tonight's game.

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SG - Wesley Matthews, Portland Trail Blazers (vs. BOS), $5,700: With LaMarcus Aldridge (and Robin Lopez) out, Matthews will continue to shoulder more of the offensive load. Matthews now has 17-plus shot attempts in each of his past three games and has averaged 33.42 fantasy points per game during that stretch. That said, Avery Bradley is one of the league's best on-ball defenders, but it's possible he guards Damian Lillard instead of Matthews.

SG - Joe Johnson, Brooklyn Nets (at LAC), $6,000: Averaging more than 38 points per game over his past 12 games, Johnson broke out of a six-game slump (23.75 FPPG) with 31.75 and 34.5 fantasy points in his two most recent games. In his past 21 games, Johnson has as many games (two) with 40-plus fantasy points as he has with less than 20 fantasy points (two) and has averaged slightly more than 30 fantasy points during that span.

SG - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. UTA), $5,200: The Alphabet has played 32 minutes in back-to-back games with 25 fantasy points in each game. Given Jason Kidd's rotations and allotment of minutes, it's hard to trust any Buck not named Brandon Knight to get consistent minutes. But he should be able to reach 5x value if he gets 32 minutes once again and he has 40-point upside considering his stat-stuffing nature of his game. If you play The Greek Freak, however, I'd stick with GPPs over cash games.

SF - Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers (vs. BOS), $5,300: Breaking out of his slump, Batum scored a season-most 52.5 fantasy points last night after scoring no more than 38.5 in his first 36 games this season. In fact, he had just 67.25 fantasy points in his past four games combined. Knocking down six of eight three-pointers last night, Batum scored 27 points and added 10 rebounds, five assists and a block. It would be unrealistic to expect a repeat performance, but the injury to LMA should continue to lead to increased offensive opportunities for Batum, who does a lot more than just score.

SF - Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. UTA), $5,100: Over his past nine games, Middleton has scored a minimum of 21 fantasy points and averaged 27.42 per game. Before that, however, he had a couple of games with seven or less fantasy points in a six-game stretch. That said, Middleton has averaged 11.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.4 steals over that nine-game stretch. Until Kidd pulls the rug from under us, Middleton appears safe.

SF - Dorell Wright, Portland Trail Blazers (vs. BOS), $3,000: Getting the start in place of Aldridge at power forward, Wright is a minimum-salary option at SF. Wright played (and fouled out in) nearly 35 minutes and finished with 30.75 fantasy points. Wright scored 15 points and added five assists, three rebounds and two steals and was three-of-six from behind the arc. Like with Batum, I wouldn't expect a repeat of last night's production, but he's certainly a viable punt option.

PF - Taj Gibson, Chicago Bulls (vs. SA), $6,100: With Joakim Noah listed as doubtful for tonight's game, Gibson should once again get a heavy dose of minutes as is typical when Noah or Pau Gasol is out. Averaging close to 40 minutes in his past three games, Gibson has averaged 10.7 points, 8.0 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game during that span.

PF - Ersan Ilyasova, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. UTA), $3,700: After playing 12 and 22 minutes in his first two games of the month, Ilyasova is expected to move into the starting lineup for tonight's game. In the past eight games that the oft-injured Ilyasova has played 20-plus minutes, he has scored a minimum of 21.75 fantasy points and averaged 26.78 fantasy points. At his price point, he should easily reach value given starter's minutes.

C - Brook Lopez, Brooklyn Nets (at LAC), $6,400: Over his past three games, Lopez has averaged 35.5 fantasy points as well as 21.0 (real) points, 4.7 rebounds, 2.7 blocks and 1.0 steal per game. In addition, Lopez has been getting to the line with 7.0 made free throws per game over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.

C - Enes Kanter, Utah Jazz (at MIL), $5,900: Starting and playing 33 minutes, Kanter had a monster 24/17 double-double last night and finished a fraction shy of 50 fantasy points. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert played less than 20 minutes. With starter's minutes, Kanter should be able to reach value tonight.

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Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Daily Fantasy Basketball: DraftKings Values for March 11th

If you play daily fantasy sports (and who isn't these days?!), you know that one of the keys to success is uncovering undervalued players to allow you to load up on studs elsewhere.

In case you've never played daily fantasy basketball, you select your team based on a player's salary and your team's salary cannot exceed the game salary-cap maximum.

For DraftKings leagues, rosters consist of eight players and the salary cap is $50,000, which averages to roughly $6,250 per player. To give you an idea of the range for Tuesday's games, Thunder SF/PF Kevin Durant ($11,200) has the contest's highest salary while many are tied for the lowest at the game-minimum salary ($3,000).

There are a number of benefits compared to traditional full-season re-draft leagues, such as:
  • you don't have to worry about being saddled by players sidelined by injury;
  • having a late pick doesn't rule out owning studs like Kevin Durant or LeBron James;
  • you get the instant gratification of winning your league(s) that night.
And you know that enthusiasm you have after drafting your fantasy team(s)? Well, you get to experience that feeling on a nightly basis with daily fantasy basketball.

OK, with the preliminary stuff out of the way, here are some value plays to consider for Tuesday (March 11th) DraftKings leagues:

PG - D.J. Augustin, Chicago Bulls (vs. SAS), $4,800: Augustin has averaged 20.2 points and 2.4 three-pointers per game this month and is averaging 27.95 fantasy points per game in March. The Spurs have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Will Bynum, Detroit Pistons (vs. SAC), $3,900: Despite modest minutes, Bynum has scored 20-plus fantasy points in five of his past six games. The Kings have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Ray McCallum, Sacramento Kings (at DET), $3,300: Born in Detroit, McCallum returns home to face the Pistons, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points this season to opposing point guards. McCallum is coming off a quiet night against the Nets on Sunday (9.5 fantasy points in 30 minutes), but he had scored 17.25 to 22.0 fantasy points in each of his previous four games.

* DraftKings is running a one-day contest (Mar. 26th) with $1 million in prizes including $100k for 1st place. The entry fee is $500, but they are running qualifiers every day including a free qualifier plus deposit bonus to new accounts.

PG/SG - Jerryd Bayless, Boston Celtics (at IND), $4,500: Bayless has scored at least 23.75 fantasy points in four of his past five games including one against tonight's opponent. Over those five games, Bayless is averaging 15.8 points, 1.6 three's, 4.0 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game.

PG/SG - Devin Harris, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $3,700: Over his past three games, Harris has averaged 27.5 fantasy points per game including 38.25 of them on Sunday against the Pacers. During that three-game span, Harris has averaged 11.33 points, 5.67 assists and 2.0 steals per game. Based on salary cost per average fantasy points produced this month, Harris has the lowest number (160.43) among guard-eligible players for Tuesday games.

SG/SF - Corey Brewer, Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. MIL), $4,900: In 44 minutes against the Raptors on Sunday, Brewer had 17 points, six steals, three assists and three rebounds as he scored 39.25 fantasy points. In his past 10 games, he has seven games with multiple steals (22 steals in those games) and three games with none. That said, the Bucks have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards.

SG/SF - Danny Green, San Antonio Spurs (at CHI), $4,600: While the matchup is far from favorable, Green has been productive recently and his production should at least exceed his relatively modest cost. In his past three games, Green has scored more than 30 fantasy points twice and at least 21.75 per game. Doing a bit of everything, Green has averaged 13.33 points, 3.0 treys, 3.33 boards, 3.33 assists, 1.67 blocks and 1.0 steals per game over his past three.

SF - Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors (vs. DAL), $3,800: Green saw a three-game streak of games with 23.75-plus fantasy points end as he fouled out in 22 minutes on Sunday. That said, he's a solid contributor in virtually all categories at a minimal price point. The Mavs have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to small forwards this year.

SF/PF - Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks (at MIN), $4,400: With a strong all-around performance, Middleton scored 47.0 fantasy points against the Magic last night. Middleton knocked down five-of-eight three-pointers as he scored 21 points and added six rebounds, seven assists, two steals and a block. Over his past four games, he has scored a minimum of 24.5 fantasy points in each game.

SF/PF - Ersan Ilyasova, Milwaukee Bucks (at MIN), $5,200: Ilyasova posted a double-double (16 points, 11 rebounds) and finished with 33.25 fantasy points last night against the Magic. Despite some inconsistency, he has scored at least 26.5 fantasy points in four of the five games he has played this month.

PF/C - Taj Gibson, Chicago Bulls (vs. SAS), $5,600: Gibson had an poor shooting outing (3 of 11) on Sunday vs. Miami, but he played through the flu. In his previous three outings, he was 25 of 43 (.581) from the field. Even with an off game against the Heat, Gibson has scored 24.5-plus fantasy points in three consecutive games.

PF/C - Reggie Evans, Sacramento Kings (at DET), $3,600: Evans played a four-game low of 17 minutes on Sunday, but he still grabbed nine rebounds in limited playing time. In his previous matchup in Detroit, Evans just missed a double-double (11 points, nine rebounds) as he scored 23.75 fantasy points in 20 minutes.

C - Kelly Olynyk, Boston Celtics (at IND), $4,700: There are a couple of concerns with Olynyk — the matchup is unfavorable and he has played just 17 and 18 minutes in his past two games. That said, he has averaged 16.67 points, 1.67 treys and 6.0 rebounds with 26.67 fantasy points per game over his past three since returning from injury.

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