Showing posts with label Elfrid Payton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elfrid Payton. Show all posts

Monday, March 23, 2015

2014-15 NBA Power Rankings Week 21



After Paul George's gruesome injury with USA Basketball, it was expected that he would miss the entire season.

Last week, however, it was reported that he could potentially make a return this week, although he has been ruled out for Monday's game.

"We want to make sure I'm as close to 100 [percent] as possible," George said (via ESPN). "It's not coming down to you know, 'Paul's feeling good, let's get him out there.' It's about making sure everything's where I'm comfortable, where the medical staff is comfortable, where the front office is comfortable."

The Pacers were surging in the standings, but they have lost five consecutive games and currently sit outside of the top-eight seeds in the Eastern Conference. That said, they are only one-half game behind the Hornets, who are currently the No. 8 seed.

Four teams -- Charlotte, Boston, Indiana and Brooklyn -- are all separated by one game in the Eastern Conference standings.

Back-to-back triple-doubles for Payton

Elfrid Payton is having a magical rookie season and the ex-Ragin' Cajun did something this past week that no Magic player has ever done.

Payton recorded back-to-back triple-doubles on Wednesday (15 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds) and Friday (22 points, 10 assists and 10 rebounds). The last time a rookie posted consecutive triple-doubles was Antoine Walker in 1997.

While these are the only two triple-doubles of Payton's career, he is one of just eight players that have multiple triple-doubles this season. In addition, the only player with more than three triple-doubles this season is Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook (10).

Over his past five games, Payton is averaging 13.2 points, 9.4 assists, 8.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists.

Among rookies that have played at least 25 games this season, Payton ranks first in assists (6.2/G), second in steals (1.6/G), seventh in rebounding (4.2/G) and seventh in scoring (8.6/G).

Six straight losses for Bucks, 4-13 since trade deadline

The Milwaukee Bucks were one of many teams that made major moves prior to the trade deadline.

Sending Brandon Knight to the Phoenix Suns, they received Michael Carter-Williams in return from the Philadelphia 76ers.

MCW did not play in his first three games as a member of the Bucks and he also missed a game against the Grizzlies on March 14th. Since the trade deadline, however, the Bucks have won only four of 17 games. Three of those four wins were against bottom-feeder teams -- Denver, Philadelphia and Orlando.

The Bucks carry a league-high six-game losing streak into this week's games. The Bucks will host the Heat, Pacers and Warriors in a three-game week.

Noel averaging double-double in March

Philadelphia 76ers power forward Nerlens Noel has really stepped up over the past month on a team otherwise devoid of (healthy and local) talent.

In 12 March games, Noel is averaging a double-double -- 13.2 points and 10.5 rebounds -- per game.

More impressive than the double-double, however, is that Noel is averaging 2.7 steals and 2.0 blocks per game.

To put it into perspective, the list of players with at least 15 steals and 15 blocks this month is one: Noel.

But Noel has way more than 15 of each -- 32 steals and 24 blocked shots.

The Manimal averaging double-double post-Shaw

Since the Nuggets have fired Brian Shaw on March 3rd, the Denver Nuggets have been playing much better basketball although they have lost three of their past four games. In the 12 games without him, however, the Nuggets have posted a 7-5 record.

With Shaw, the team won only 20 of 59 games.

One of the players that has been playing well without Shaw is Kenneth Faried.

The Manimal is averaging 16.6 points, 10.3 rebounds, 1.6 blocks and 1.1 steals per game since the firing of his head coach. During that span, Faried has seven double-doubles in 11 games.

As a comparison, Faried averaged 11.2 points, 8.5 rebounds, 0.7 blocks and 0.7 steals in 54 games with inconsistent minutes with Shaw as coach.

Here are my Week 21 NBA Power Rankings:

RankTeamRecordLast WeekChange
1Golden State Warriors56-131-
2Atlanta Hawks53-172-
3Cleveland Cavaliers46-263-
4Memphis Grizzlies49-214-
5Houston Rockets46-235-
6San Antonio Spurs44-257+1
7Los Angeles Clippers46-258+1
8Portland Trail Blazers44-246-2
9Dallas Mavericks44-2710+1
10Washington Wizards40-3012+2
11Oklahoma City Thunder40-309-2
12Chicago Bulls42-2913+1
13Toronto Raptors42-2814+1
14Phoenix Suns38-3317+3
15New Orleans Pelicans37-3311-4
16Indiana Pacers30-3915-1
17Utah Jazz31-3818+1
18Charlotte Hornets30-3816-2
19Miami Heat32-3721+2
20Milwaukee Bucks34-3619-1
21Boston Celtics30-3920-1
22Brooklyn Nets29-3923+1
23Denver Nuggets27-4422-1
24Sacramento Kings24-4524-
25Orlando Magic22-5025-
26Detroit Pistons26-4426-
27Philadelphia 76ers17-5328+1
28Los Angeles Lakers18-5027-1
29Minnesota Timberwolves15-5429-
30New York Knicks14-5630-


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Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Feb. 11)

The good news is that it's Wednesday and we have a busy slate of games (12) tonight. The bad news is that we will go a full week without any NBA DFS contests with only one game on tap tomorrow night before the start of the All-Star break.


With that said, here are my favorite DraftKings values ($6,500 salary or less) for Wednesday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (vs. ORL), $5,400: Like any rookie, Payton has had some ups and downs this season, but he has had scored at least 28.75 fantasy points in back-to-back games and in three of his past four. Over the past month, Payton has averaged 29.13 fantasy points in 15 games. During that 15-game span, he has averaged 10.87 points, 6.73 assists, 4.13 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game. And with Tobias Harris out tonight, Payton should also see a slight bump in minutes and usage rate as well.

Others to consider: Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs ($4,900); J.J. Barea, Dallas Mavericks ($4,900); George Hill, Indiana Pacers ($4,900); Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics ($4,700); Ramon Sessions, Sacramento Kings ($4,200); Dante Exum, Utah Jazz ($3,300)

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SG - J.J. Redick, Los Angeles Clippers (vs. HOU), $3,300: With James Harden scoring nearly 150 fantasy points over his past two games, many will spend all the way to Harden ($10,300) at shooting guard tonight. If you're looking for a viable option at the opposite end of the price spectrum, Redick is worth a look. Returning to the starting lineup from back spasms, he scored 15 (real) points and 25.5 fantasy points in 31 minutes on Feb. 9th. Not only is his salary roughly $1,000 less than its typical range, but the Rockets have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

Others to consider: Kevin Martin, Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,100); Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans ($5,900); Jamaal Crawford, Los Angeles Clippers ($5,500); Rodney Stuckey, Indiana Pacers ($4,300); Elijah Millsap (if Joe Ingles is ruled out), Utah Jazz ($3,600); J.J. Redick, Los Angeles Clippers ($3,300); Jodie Meeks, Detroit Pistons ($3,300); Courtney Lee, Memphis Grizzlies ($3,100); Garrett Temple, Washington Wizards ($3,000)

SF - Trevor Ariza, Houston Rockets (at LAC), $5,700: Ariza had just 25.75 fantasy points last night, but it was the first time in five games that he had less than 30 fantasy points. Over that five-game span, he has averaged 33.85 fantasy points, which is 5.94x tonight's salary. During that span, Ariza has averaged 15.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.4 steals per game and has connected on 15-of-32 three-point attempts. Given that the Clippers have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards, Ariza should reach or exceed value once again.

Others to consider: Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks ($6,500); Josh Smith, Houston Rockets ($6,400); Andrew Wiggins, Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,200); Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers ($5,400); C.J. Miles, Indiana Pacers ($4,300); Shabazz Muhammad, Minnesota Timberwolves ($3,400); Tony Allen, Memphis Grizzlies ($3,100)

PF - Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks (vs. UTA), $6,400: With the All-Star break nearly upon us and an opportunity for Nowitzki to rest, perhaps he sees a few more minutes than typical tonight with Rajon Rondo and Tyson Chandler both out. In addition, Monta Ellis is considered questionable for tonight's game. Either way, Nowitzki has a rock-solid floor with a minimum of 20.75 fantasy points in 31 consecutive games. With only two games of 40-plus fantasy points during that same span, however, Nowitzki makes for a better play in cash games than tournaments.

Others to consider: David West, Indiana Pacers ($6,500); Thaddeus Young, Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,000); Jason Smith, New York Knicks ($4,900); Mitch McGary, Oklahoma City Thunder ($3,800); Lance Thomas, New York Knicks ($3,200)

C - Enes Kanter, Utah Jazz (at DAL), $5,800: Kanter has three double-doubles with more than 30 fantasy points in his past four games and he has a chance to have another strong game with Tyson Chandler out. Not that I expect a DeAndre Jordan-type outing from Kanter against a Chandler-less Mavs interior defense, but Kanter has shown some significant upside with back-to-back games of 49.75 and 50 fantasy points a couple of weeks ago.

Others to consider: Marcin Gortat, Washington Wizards ($5,100); Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers ($5,100); Alexis Ajinca (if Anthony Davis is out), New Orleans Pelicans ($3,800);

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Thursday, January 29, 2015

Fantasy NBA FanDuel DFS Values (Jan. 29)

Earlier today, I posted some value plays that I like on DraftKings and now I turn my attention to FanDuel.

With that said, here are some FanDuel values (salaries of $7,000 or less) for Thursday's NBA games:


PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (vs. MIL), $6,000: Payton has displayed incredible consistency for a rookie point guard by scoring more than 25 fantasy points in eight consecutive games. Over that stretch, Payton has averaged 13.13 points, 8.0 assists and 2.13 steals per game. Although the Bucks have held opposing point guards to the fewest fantasy points this season, Payton does a number of different things to generate fantasy points.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (at IND), $4,800: Playing 30 or more minutes in all five of his starts, Galloway has scored at least 20 fantasy points in all five of those games. Based on average production of 29.16 fantasy points per game as a starter, he's priced at 6.08 times his bargain-basement salary. During that five-game span, he has averaged 15.2 points, 2.0 three's, 5.8 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Especially if Carmelo Anthony sits on the second night of a back-to-back, Galloway may need to shoulder more of the scoring load.

PG - Beno Udrih, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. DEN), $4,200: If Mike Conley (wrist) misses another game (and he's considered to be a game-time decision), then Udrih is a strong value play even though Nick Calathes was more productive in their last game. Unfortunately, the Grizzlies pay at 8 PM so it's possible that we won't know Conley's status prior to the 7 p.m. lineup lock. That said, Udrih has played at least 20 minutes in five of his past seven games and has at least 21 fantasy points in four of those five 20-minute games.

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SG - Arron Afflalo, Denver Nuggets (at MEM), $5,900: Afflalo has scored more than 20 fantasy points in 13 of his past 14 games and has averaged 26.62 during that 14-game span. The Grizzlies have one of the league's best defenses and play at the fifth-slowest pace in the league, but Afflalo has a high floor and scored 28.2 fantasy points in his first matchup against the Grizz.

SG - Jordan Clarkson, Los Angeles Lakers (vs. CHI), $3,700: Clarkson is nearly a must-start for me tonight. Not only is he starting at point guard and only $200 above the minimum salary, but the combo guard is listed at shooting guard on FanDuel (unlike DraftKings, PG). Plus, we have to start two SGs on FanDuel. In his third consecutive start on Tuesday, Clarkson played more than 36 minutes, scored 18 (real) points and 27.1 fantasy points, all of which were highs this season. He has scored at least 19.6 fantasy points in two of his three starts and he just needs to score 18.5 fantasy points to reach 5x value.

SF - Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks (at ORL), $5,500: Compared to other positions, small forward leaves a lot to be desired tonight. Having to start two of them exacerbates the issue. That said, Middleton has scored at least 20 fantasy points in 11 of 13 games and he has averaged nearly 30 fantasy points (29.83) over his past three.

SF - Lance Thomas, New York Knicks (at IND), $4,000: With or without Carmelo Anthony in the lineup, Thomas has been productive in his past three games. The game during that span that Melo missed, however, Thomas played 41 minutes compared to 25 minutes in the other two games. That said, he has scored at least 21.5 fantasy points in all three games with an average of 26.8. If Melo sits, Thomas becomes an especially attractive value play at small forward.

PF - David West, Indiana Pacers (vs. NYK), $6,500: Although he rarely hits 40-plus fantasy points, West is remarkably consistent and priced below the average starting salary ($6,667). In his past 25 games, West has scored less than 20 fantasy points only twice and those two games were 19.6 and 18.7 points, respectively. During that same 25-game span, he's averaging 28.52 FPPG and has averaged a line of 13.12/7.28/3.56 with 1.0 steals and 0.8 blocks per game as well.

PF - Jason Smith, New York Knicks (at IND), $4,200: Smith had his first double-double of the season last night with 11 points and 11 rebounds while adding six assists and a steal. He has now played 32-plus minutes in five consecutive games. Smith has scored at least 30 fantasy points in two of his past three games and at least 24 fantasy points in four of his past five games.

C - Joakim Noah, Chicago Bulls (at LAL), $6,500: Like West, I like Noah a little more on FanDuel than DraftKings. In both cases, they are priced slightly higher than the average salary on DraftKings but slightly less than the average salary on FanDuel. It was good to see Noah get his first double-double in 11 games and blow up for 47 points in his last game. While repeat numbers (18/15 with six assists and two steals) shouldn't be expected for tonight's game, it's excellent that he feels as good as he has all season and has an exploitable matchup against the Lakers tonight.

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Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 29)

Salaries are fairly low at the top tonight as only six players, four of which are bigs (PF/C), are priced at $8,000 or more, which includes brothers Pau Gasol ($9,300) and Marc Gasol ($8,000).

Both Gasol brothers have great matchups -- Pau vs. LAL and Marc vs. DEN -- and stacking them will be a popular strategy tonight. Marc's teammate Zach Randolph ($8,200) is a strong play as well as the Nuggets allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards and Z-Bo has 10 consecutive double-doubles.

If you load up on high(er)-priced bigs, the good news is there is plenty of value at guard tonight to allow you do so.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values ($6,500 salary or less) for Thursday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (vs. MIL), $5,600: With impressive consistency for a rookie point guard, Payton scored an eight-game low of 26.5 fantasy points against the Grizzlies on Monday. Over that stretch, Payton has averaged 13.13 points, 8.0 assists and 2.13 steals per game. Although the Bucks have held opposing point guards to the fewest fantasy points this season, Payton does a number of different things to generate fantasy points.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (at IND), $4,300: Playing 30 or more minutes in all five of his starts, Galloway has scored at least 32 fantasy points in four of those five games. Based on average production of 30.95 fantasy points per game as a starter, he's priced at 7.2 times his bargain-basement salary. During that five-game span, he has averaged 15.2 points, 2.0 three's, 5.8 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.4 steals per game. If Carmelo Anthony rests on the second night of their back-to-back, Galloway may need to shoulder more of the scoring load.

PG - Jordan Clarkson, Los Angeles Lakers (vs. CHI), $3,800: Starting his third consecutive game at the point on Tuesday, Clarkson played more than 36 minutes, scored 18 (real) points and 28.25 fantasy points, all of which were highs this season. He has exceeded 20 fantasy points in two of his three starts and he just needs to score 19.0 fantasy points to reach 5x value.

PG - Beno Udrih, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. DEN), $3,200: If Mike Conley (wrist) misses another game, then Udrih is a strong value play even though Nick Calathes was more productive in their last game. That said, Udrih has played at least 20 minutes in five of his past seven games and has at least 22 fantasy points in four of those five games with 20-plus minutes.

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SG - Arron Afflalo, Denver Nuggets (at MEM), $6,100: Afflalo has scored at least 22.5 fantasy points in 13 of his past 14 games and has averaged 28.7 during that 14-game span. The Grizzlies have one of the league's best defenses and play at the fifth-slowest pace, but Afflalo has a high floor and scored 29.75 fantasy points in his first matchup against the Grizz.

SG - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (at ORL), $5,400: The allotment of minutes by Jason Kidd is as difficult to predict as the allocation of workloads to running backs by Bill Belichick, but the Greek Freak has seen 33-plus minutes in five of his past six games. During that span, he has averaged 25.67 fantasy points per game -- or slightly less than 5x his salary (4.75). With his all-around statistical contributions, The Alphabet has upside for 35-40 points (and would be 1 and 2 in the player nickname rankings tonight).

SG - O.J. Mayo, Milwaukee Bucks (at ORL), $4,400: With limited upside as a bench player getting less than 30 minutes per night, Mayo has still been consistent with at least 21.5 fantasy points in nine consecutive games and an average of 25.97 during that stretch. Mayo needs just 22.0 fantasy points to reach 5x value.

SF - Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks (at ORL), $5,200: On nights with a large slate of games, I typically avoid the Bucks with the possible exception of Brandon Knight. On a night with four games, I'm more willing to roll with some Bucks in my lineups. That said, Middleton has scored at least 25 fantasy points in three consecutive games and in six of his past nine. Based on the options throughout the price scale tonight, small forward is my least favorite position, which means that Middleton will likely be my most-owned Buck tonight.

PF - David West, Indiana Pacers (vs. NYK), $6,300: Perhaps one of the least exciting options in daily fantasy basketball, West is consistently productive, which is exciting in its own way. In his past 25 games, West has scored less than 20 fantasy points only once and that one game was 19.5 points. During that same 25-game span, he's averaging 30.18 FPPG and has averaged a line of 13.12/7.28/3.56 with 1.0 steals and 0.8 blocks per game as well.

PF - Jason Smith, New York Knicks (at IND), $3,900: Smith had his first double-double of the season last night with 11 points and 11 rebounds while adding six assists and a steal. Smith has played 32-plus minutes in five consecutive games and he has scored at least 25.5 fantasy points in four of those games.

C - Joakim Noah, Chicago Bulls (at LAL), $6,300: Although we shouldn't expect another 50 fantasy points, Noah had an 18/15 double-double with six assists and two steals in Tuesday's overtime win at Golden State. Noah has recently mentioned that he feels as healthy as he has felt all season and he should easily reach value in an exploitable matchup against the Lakers.

C - Zaza Pachulia, Milwaukee Bucks (at ORL), $4,600: If Ersan Ilyasova (groin) misses tonight's game, Pachulia may get a bump in minutes. (Pachulia has played roughly two minutes less over his past six games with Ilyasova in the lineup than he had in the previous 10 games without him.) Either way, he has a favorable matchup against the Magic, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing centers. Over his past 16 games, Pachulia is averaging 27.86 fantasy points, which is 6.06 times tonight's salary.

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Monday, January 26, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 26th)

As we brace for a blizzard (Juno) here in the northeast, a couple of games that were scheduled to be played in New York City have been postponed.

Therefore, a seven-game slate is now down to five games, four of which have point spreads of 12.5 points or more leading to plenty of blowout potential.

With the Kings and Blazers no longer in action tonight, some studs like DeMarcus Cousins, LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard are obvioiusly unavailable. And neither are some bargain-priced players like Langston Galloway and Jason Smith.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values ($6,500 salary or less) for Monday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at MEM), $5,500: The matchup is difficult against Mike Conley and the Grizzlies, but Payton does a lot of things to generate fantasy points. Over his past seven games, Payton is averaging 34.07 fantasy points per game with a minimum of 27.25 during that span. In addition, he has averaged 13.29 points, 8.29 assists, 4.0 rebounds and 2.14 steals per game during that stretch.

PG - Dante Exum, Utah Jazz (vs. BOS), $3,500: Exum has played at least 29 minutes and scored at least 23.5 fantasy points in back-to-back games. Meanwhile, the Celtics have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season. While he likely won't continue to knock down three's at his current rate (eight of 15 over past two games), he should once again exceed value at his bargain price.

PG - Larry Drew II, Philadelphia 76ers (at NO), $3,400: With Michael Carter-Williams (illness) out, Drew II will get his first career NBA start tonight. In his six games,he has averaged just 0.58 fantasy points per minute, but with the boost in minutes tonight, he should easily reach value.

* Fantasy Basketball World Championship (FBWC): Qualify for DraftKings FBWC and spend a five-night VIP experience in Vegas culminating in a one-in-40 shot at the $1 MILLION top prize.

SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. PHI), $5,700: Gordon has scored more than 20 fantasy points in 10 consecutive games and he should continue to be productive as long as Jrue Holiday is out of the lineup. Over that 10-game span, Gordon is averaging 15.6 points, 4.8 assists, 3.2 rebounds and 2.2 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, the Sixers allow the third-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards. In addition, teammate Quincy Poindexter ($3,000) is an intriguing SG punt option as he's averaging more than 27 minutes since joining the Pelicans.

SG - Evan Turner, Boston Celtics (at UTA), $5,300: Turner had one of his best games of the season last night with a 19/7/7 line while adding a steal and a block. In his past five games, Turner has averaged 32.35 fantasy points per game with a minimum of 27 in each. In order for Turner to reach 6x his salary, he'll need to score 31.8 points (less than his five-game average).

SF - Wilson Chandler, Denver Nuggets (at LAC), $5,600: Chandler has scored 33-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games and the Clippers have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season. Chandler has averaged more than 37 minutes per game over his past three games.

PF - Thaddeus Young, Minnesota Timberwolves (at OKC), $6,000: Young was on this list yesterday and he delivered with 45.5 fantasy points, but Young has been very productive lately. Over his last six games, he is averaging 35.29 fantasy points per game and he has at least 30 fantasy points in five of those six games. During that stretch, he has averaged 18.0 points, 5.83 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 1.33 steals per game.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (at NO), $5,000: Noel scored just 18.5 fantasy points against the Grizzlies on Saturday, but he had scored more than 30 fantasy points in four of his previous five games. The obvious concern is foul trouble facing Anthony Davis, but Noel scored a fraction shy of 50 fantasy points against the Pelicans on Jan. 16th with a 17/11 double-double and five blocked shots although The 'Brow was out that game.

PF - Brandon Bass, Boston Celtics (at UTA), $4,400: Bass had a relatively modest performance last night (22.75 fantasy points, eight points and nine rebounds) compared to his previous two games (38.0 and 43.75 fantasy points, respectively). That said, he has played 30-plus minutes in three consecutive games and 22.75 fantasy points is still a very solid 5.17 times his salary.

C - Enes Kanter, Utah Jazz (vs. BOS), $6,500: Both Rudy Gobert and Kanter get a favorable matchup against the Celtics, who allow the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing centers. After a pair of 50-point games from Kanter, he came crashing down to earth with 16 fantasy points against the Nets on Saturday. That said, he should bounce back (although not to the 50-point level) with tonight's favorable matchup.

C - Omer Asik, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. PHI), $4,400: Asik may not have a ton of upside especially considering the blowout potential here, but Asik has 21-plus fantasy points in seven of his past eight games and gets an incredible matchup tonight. No team allows more fantasy points to opposing centers than the Sixers.

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Friday, January 23, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 23rd)

To fit higher-priced studs like Kevin Durant or James Harden into your DFS lineups, it's important to identify lower-priced options to provide some salary-cap relief.

In our DraftKings value posts, we will highlight players with salaries of $6,500 or less. The average salary of the $50,000 cap is $6,250 so the vast majority of the players referenced below are priced below the average salary.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Friday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at NYK), $5,400: With the return of Tobias Harris, Payton played just shy of 30 minutes on Wednesday instead of the 35-plus he had averaged over his previous five games. But he was still productive as he finished with eight points, eight assists, four rebounds and three steals for 28.5 fantasy points. Over his past five, he's averaging 14.8 points, 7.8 assists, 4.4 rebounds and 2.4 steals per game.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (vs. ORL), $4,100: Getting another start on Wednesday, the results were identical for Galloway, who has now scored exactly 32.25 fantasy points in back-to-back outings. In his six games with the Knicks, Galloway has played 30-plus minutes three times and has scored 30-plus fantasy points in all three of those games.

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SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (at MIN), $5,500: With Jrue Holiday out for a few more weeks, Gordon should continue to see plenty of minutes and production. Gordon has now scored more than 20 fantasy points in eight consecutive games including 41.75 last night. During that eight-game span, Gordon has averaged 35 minutes, 15.88 points, 4.75 assists and 3.38 rebounds per game with a steal in seven of those eight games. In addition, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season than the T'Wolves.

SG - J.R. Smith, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. CHA), $5,000: Excluding his debut with the Cavs, Smith has averaged more than 35 minutes and just shy of 30 fantasy points (29.32) per game. Over that seven-game stretch, Smith has averaged 16.71 points and 3.14 three-pointers, 3.86 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game. One of the concerns with Smith, however, is that Iman Shumpert is expected to make his debut with the Cavs tonight.

SF - P.J. Tucker, Phoenix Suns (vs. HOU), $4,200: Not only should this be a high-scoring game (220.5 over/under), but it should be close as well (two-point spread) and that should lead to plenty of fantasy upside. Only the Warriors are projected to score more points than the Suns, but that game has loads of blowout potential with Golden State favored by 15.5 points. Tucker's minutes and those of other Suns can fluctuate a lot, but Tucker doesn't need to score to be productive. As an example, he had just three (real) points on Wednesday, but he still scored 36.75 fantasy points with 13 rebounds, five assists, four steals and one block.

SF - Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks (vs. CHI), $5,900: Although the first matchup went into double-overtime, Parsons had one of his five games with 40-plus fantasy points this season against the Bulls on Dec. 2nd. While he likely won't score 40 fantasy points again, he has now scored at least 30.5 fantasy points in three consecutive games. If you decide to not pay up for someone like KD, Parsons is one of the better mid-priced options at the position tonight.

PF - Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks (vs. CHI), $6,400: Reaching 35 minutes only three times this season, Nowitzki may lack the upside to be a strong tournament play, but his consistency and salary make him a solid option in cash games. Although Nowitzki is averaging slightly less than 30 minutes per game, he has scored more than 20 fantasy points in 21 consecutive games with an average of 30.83 during that span.

PF - Taj Gibson, Chicago Bulls (at DAL), $6,100: If Joakim Noah misses another game tonight, Gibson remains a strong option. Over his past five games, he is averaging more than 37 minutes per game with 11.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (vs. TOR), $5,300: Before missing Wednesday's game with flu-like symptoms, Noel has been getting consistent playing time with 30-plus minutes in six of his past seven games. Over his past four games, Noel has averaged 11.75 points, 8.25 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 2.25 blocks per game. Noel needs 31.8 fantasy points to reach six times his salary and he has scored 31.5 or more fantasy points in three of his past four games.

PF - Jason Smith, New York Knicks (vs. ORL), $3,900: Smith has scored more than 25 fantasy points in back-to-back games with at least 32 minutes in each contest. With a top-10 matchup against the Magic, Smith should be able to easily reach value on Friday night assuming he gets another heavy dose of minutes.

PF - Brandon Bass, Boston Celtics (at DEN), $3,300: Getting a start and more than 30 minutes on Thursday, Bass had his first double-double of the season with 13 points, 10 rebounds and five assists as well as a steal and a block. Even if they are showcasing him for a trade, Bass has now scored at least 22 fantasy points in three consecutive games including 38.0 last night and is a solid low-priced option. In addition, few teams allow more fantasy points to opposing bigs than the Nuggets.

C - Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. CHA), $5,100: Mozgov played a seven-game high of 39 minutes on Wednesday since being acquired by the Cavs and finished with his consecutive double-double. In his past two games, he's averaging 15.5 points, 13.0 rebounds (6.0 OREB/G), two blocks and one steal per game and 39.0 fantasy points per game. And LeBron James has referred to Mozgov as being a "walking double-double."

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. HOU), $4,600: There are some concerns with Len's foot tendinitis, less than 20 minutes of playing time in back-to-back games and potential foul trouble against Dwight Howard. That said, Len was averaging 29.18 fantasy points per game before his disappointing 11.25 outing on Wednesday.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Fantasy NBA FanDuel DFS Values (Jan. 21)

Earlier today, I posted my favorite DraftKings value plays for tonight's NBA games.

As I turn my attention to FanDuel contests, there will obviously be plenty of overlap in terms of the value plays I like. Even though DraftKings and FanDuel price players independently, their price points are generally in the same ball park.

The players listed in this post will have a maximum salary of $7,000, which is slightly above the average $6,667 salary on FanDuel's nine-men rosters.


Here are some FanDuel values for Wednesday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at DET), $5,900: Payton has scored 30-plus fantasy points in three of the past four games with an average of 35 fantasy points per game over that span. Over his past four games, he is averaging 16.5 points, 7.8 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 steals per game. In those four games, Payton has double-digit points plus a minimum of four rebounds, four assists and two steals in each of those games.

PG - Jarrett Jack, Brooklyn Nets (at SAC), $6,800: With Deron Williams out for tonight's game, Jack remains a strong option among the mid-priced point guards. In his past eight games, Jack is averaging 29.76 fantasy points per game with 36-plus in half of those games including back-to-back games against the Wizards. During that eight-game span, Jack has averaged 15.63 points, 7.38 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 3.13 three-pointers in nearly 37 minutes per game. Meanwhile, the Kings have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Mo Williams, Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. DAL), $6,100: Williams is coming off a disappointing performance (18 fantasy points in 29 minutes), but he had at least 25 fantasy points in the previous seven games with 42-plus points in three of them. Even though Kevin Martin is considered a game-time decision, the good news is that Ricky Rubio has been ruled out for tonight's game. This game has the second-highest over/under behind the Warriors-Rockets matchup and Williams price on FanDuel is actually $100 less than his salary on DraftKings even though the average salary per player in FanDuel is higher than it is on DraftKings ($6,250).


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SG - Wesley Matthews, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,700: Matthews' minutes won't directly benefit from the injury to LaMarcus Aldridge, but his usage rate and shot attempts will. With Aldridge playing only 14 minutes before his injury on Monday, Matthews took a season-high 20 shot attempts including 12 three-point attempts. Dollar for dollar, Matthews is my favorite play among SGs tonight.

SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. LAL), $5,100: If Jrue Holiday (ankle) misses another game, that would benefit Gordon. Since returning from his own injury on Jan. 5th, Gordon has played 33-plus minutes in seven of eight games. In his past seven games, Gordon has scored a minimum of 22.5 fantasy points and he's averaged 27.57 per game over that span. Gordon has a solid floor, but his relatively low ceiling makes him a better play in cash games than tournaments.

SF - Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,300: Things haven't gone so well for Batum (and his fantasy/DFS owners), but that has led to a more modest price tag. Although he has failed to reach 20 fantasy points in four consecutive games, Batum could shoulder a little more of the load with Aldridge out. In addition, the Suns play at the third-fastest pace and rank fifth in most turnovers per game (15.3) and Batum is less of a scorer and more of a player that contributes across multiple stat categories. And like Williams, Batum has a slightly lower salary on FanDuel than DraftKings, which makes him an even more appealing option on FanDuel.

SF - Jeff Green, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. TOR), $5,600: Excluding his debut with the Grizzlies, Green has scored 26.5-30 fantasy points with at least 30 minutes in his other three games with his new team. During that three-game span, he has at least 14 shot attempts each night and has posted an average of 16.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and a steal per game. The Raptors have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (vs. NYK), $5,800: While he may lack some consistency, Noel has been getting consistent playing time with 30-plus minutes in six of his past seven games. Over his past four games, Noel has averaged 11.75 points, 8.25 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 2.25 blocks per game. Noel has scored at least 31.1 fantasy points in three of his past four games.

[Update: Noel (sick) has been ruled out for tonight's game.]

PF - Donatas Motiejunas, Houston Rockets (at GS), $5,600: In a game with a 218.0 over/under, there should be plenty of fantasy points tonight. Motiejunas has now scored double-digit (real) points in 12 consecutive games and has now scored at least 23 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Against the Warriors on Jan. 17th, Motiejunas scored 28.4 fantasy points in less than 22 minutes, a 12-game low in minutes. Over the past 12 games, he has averaged nearly 30 minutes per game.

PF - Channing Frye, Orlando Magic (at DET), $4,300: This play is contingent upon the status of Tobias Harris, who is considered a game-time decision for tonight's game. If Harris can't go, Frye should continue to benefit. In the five-game stretch that Harris has missed, Frye has averaged nearly 36 minutes and 25.44 fantasy points per game. Frye's shooting percentage (15-of-51, 29.4 percent) during that stretch has been awful, but he still has a minimum of 20.1 fantasy points in those games despite poor shooting. In addition, Frye's price on FanDuel is $700 than his DraftKings price.

[Update: Harris will play, but he may come off the bench.]

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. POR), $5,200: With injuries to Robin Lopez and LMA, Len gets a favorable matchup against a Blazers' front court that lacks depth. Len is coming off his worst performance (20.2 fantasy points in 19 minutes) over his past seven games, but he had an average of 28.68 in his previous six games.

C - Chris Kaman, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $4,400: Kaman had just 12 fantasy points in 19 minutes on MLK Jr. Day and only 18 points on the 16th against the Spurs. With the injuries in the Blazers' front court, however, Kaman should see close to 30 minutes tonight and he has averaged close to one FanDuel point per minute this season.

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Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 21st)

In order to fit studs like DeMarcus Cousins ($11,100), Kevin Durant ($10,700) or LeBron James ($10,700) into our DraftKings lineups tonight, finding values at other roster spots is imperative.

Like most Wednesdays, it's another large slate (12 games) today, which increases the odds of finding value at other spots.

For this post, I will focus on players with a salary of $6,500 or less to highlight the mid- and low-priced players that I like for tonight's games.


With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Wednesday's NBA games:

PG - Jarrett Jack, Brooklyn Nets (at SAC), $6,300: With Deron Williams out, Jack remains a strong option among the mid-priced point guards. In his past eight games, Jack is averaging 32.19 fantasy points per game with 38.5 or more in half of those games including back-to-back games against the Wizards. During that eight-game span, Jack has averaged 15.63 points, 7.38 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 3.13 three-pointers in nearly 37 minutes per game. Meanwhile, the Kings have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Mo Williams, Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. DAL), $6,200: Williams is coming off a disappointing performance (18 fantasy points in 29 minutes), but he had at least 25 fantasy points in the previous seven games with 42-plus points in three of them. Assuming that Ricky Rubio misses at least one more game, Williams has plenty of upside in what should be a fast-paced game. Both teams rank in the top-third of the league in terms of pace. (That said, I'll like Williams a little less if Kevin Martin (GTD) suits up tonight although he may be on a minutes restriction if he does.)

PG - Trey Burke, Utah Jazz (at CLE), $5,600: Burke has scored at least 22.75 fantasy points in 11 consecutive games and has averaged 30.68 points over that span. Burke is averaging 16.9 points, 5.1 assists and a steal per game during that span and gets a great matchup against Kyrie Irving and the Cavs, who have surrendered the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (at DET), $5,400: Payton has now scored 40-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games and 30-plus fantasy points in four consecutive games. Arguably the best defender in last year's draft class, Payton has multiple steals in all four of those games, but he has surprisingly stepped up offensively with 22 and 19 points in his past two games, respectively. Over his past four games, he is averaging 16.5 points, 7.8 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 steals per game.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (at PHI), $3,600: With three opportunities to start a point guard on DraftKings (PG, G and UTIL spots), that's typically a strategy that I use most nights and will do so again tonight in many of my lineups. There are plenty of great mid-priced options, as mentioned above, but Galloway is a much cheaper option that is likely to draw another start and no team allows more fantasy points to opposing point guards than the 76ers. Galloway has averaged 21.75 fantasy points in his five games with the Knicks including a pair of 30-point fantasy outings.

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SG - Wesley Matthews, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,700: Matthews' minutes won't directly benefit from the injury to LaMarcus Aldridge, but his usage rate and shot attempts will. With Aldridge playing only 14 minutes before his injury on Monday, Matthews took a season-high 20 shot attempts including 12 three-point attempts. He now has 26 three-point attempts in his past two games. Dollar for dollar, Matthews may be my favorite play among SGs tonight. SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. LAL), $5,400: If Jrue Holiday (ankle) misses another game, that would benefit Gordon. Since returning from his own injury on Jan. 5th, Gordon has played 33-plus minutes in seven of eight games. In his past seven games, Gordon has scored a minimum of 22.5 fantasy points and he's averaged 27.57 per game over that span.

SG - J.R. Smith, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. UTA), $4,900: Smith has averaged over 35 minutes per game in his past six outings with 17.0 points, 3.3 treys and 1.8 steals per game during that span. With at least 22.5 fantasy points in five of those six games, he has averaged 28.58 fantasy points over that stretch. Meanwhile, Utah has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

SF - Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $5,400: Things haven't gone so well for Batum (and his fantasy/DFS owners), but that has led to a more modest price tag. Although he has failed to reach 20 fantasy points in four consecutive games, Batum could shoulder a little more of the load with Aldridge out. In addition, the Suns play at the third-fastest pace and rank fifth in most turnovers per game (15.3) and Batum is less of a scorer and more of a player that contributes across multiple stat categories.

SF - Jeff Green, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. TOR), $5,000: Excluding his debut with the Grizzlies, Green has scored 28.25-31.25 fantasy points with at least 30 minutes in his other three games with his new team. During that three-game span, he has at least 14 shot attempts each night and has posted an average of 16.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and a steal per game. The Raptors have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

PF - Donatas Motiejunas, Houston Rockets (at GS), $5,500: In a game with a 218.0 over/under, there should be plenty of fantasy points tonight. Motiejunas has now scored double-digit (real) points in 12 consecutive games and has now scored at least 24.75 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Against the Warriors on Jan. 17th, Motiejunas scored 29.75 fantasy points in less than 22 minutes, a 12-game low in minutes. Over the past 12 games, he has averaged nearly 30 minutes per game.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers (vs. NYK), $5,300: While he may lack some consistency, Noel has been getting consistent playing time with 30-plus minutes in six of his past seven games. Over his past four games, Noel has averaged 11.75 points, 8.25 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 2.25 blocks per game. Noel needs 31.8 fantasy points to reach six times his salary and he has scored 31.5 or more fantasy points in three of his past four games.

[Update: Noel (sick) has been ruled out for tonight's game.] 

PF - Channing Frye, Orlando Magic (at DET), $5,000: This play is contingent upon the status of Tobias Harris, who is considered a game-time decision for tonight's game. If Harris can't go, Frye should continue to benefit. In the five-game stretch that Harris has missed, Frye has averaged nearly 36 minutes and 27.95 fantasy points per game. Frye's shooting percentage (15-of-51, 29.4 percent) during that stretch has been awful, but 41 of his 51 attempts have been from behind the arc and he still has a minimum of 21.5 fantasy points in those games despite poor shooting.

[Update: Harris will play, but he may come off the bench.]

C - Tyson Chandler, Dallas Mavericks (at MIN), $6,300: Typically Chandler isn't someone that finds his way into my lineups, but he now has three consecutive double-doubles with at least 35 fantasy points. Meanwhile, the T'Wolves have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season so Chandler has an excellent shot at reaching value once again.

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. POR), $4,800: With injuries to Robin Lopez and LMA, Len gets a favorable matchup against a Blazers' front court that lacks depth. Len is coming off his worst performance (21 fantasy points in 19 minutes) over his past seven games, but he had a minimum of 26 fantasy points with an average of 30.54 in his previous six games.

C - Chris Kaman, Portland Trail Blazers (at PHO), $4,400: Kaman had just 12 fantasy points in 19 minutes on MLK Jr. Day, but he averaged 28 minutes and 26.31 fantasy points in his previous four games. With the injuries in the Blazers' front court, Kaman should see close to 30 minutes tonight and he has averaged 1.05 DK points per minute this season.

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