Showing posts with label Chandler Parsons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chandler Parsons. Show all posts

Thursday, February 5, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Feb. 5)

In tonight's four-game slate, one of those games is not like the other. All four games are projected to be fairly close (five-point spreads or less), but three of the four games have an over-under of 207 points or more. The other, Hornets vs. Wizards, has an over-under of 186.5 points.

There are a few decent plays in the expected low-scoring affair, but in general, I'll look to roster mostly players from the three higher-scoring games.


With that said, here are my favorite DraftKings values ($6,500 salary or less) for Thursday's NBA games:

PG - J.J. Barea, Dallas Mavericks (at SAC), $3,400: Once again, Barea will draw the start and he has scored at least 23 fantasy points in back-to-back starts with Rajon Rondo sidelined. In order to reach 6x tonight's salary, Barea needs to score only 20.4 fantasy points and he should do that fairly easily. Not only have the Kings have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season, but only the Trail Blazers are projected to score more points tonight than the Mavs based on Vegas odds.

Others to consider: Darren Collison, Sacramento Kings ($6,500); Goran Dragic, Phoenix Suns ($6,100); Isaiah Thomas, Phoenix Suns ($5,400); Devin Harris, Dallas Mavericks ($3,900)

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SG - Jamal Crawford, Los Angeles Clippers (at CLE), $5,000: As J.J. Redick deals with back spasms and is expected to miss another game, Crawford should get another start. Although he made less than one-third of his 22 (yes, 22!) shot attempts on Monday, Crawford scored 30.25 fantasy points in 37 minutes against the Nets. Crawford has played 30-plus minutes in three of his past five games and has scored at least 30 fantasy points in all three of those 30-minute games.

Others to consider: Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards ($6,000); Wesley Matthews, Portland Trail Blazers ($6,000); Ben McLemore, Sacramento Kings ($3,900)

SF - Nicolas Batum, Portland Trail Blazers (vs. PHO), $5,000: I considered going back to the well here with Chandler Parsons, my small forward value pick from yesterday, but I like Batum as much tonight. As noted earlier, the Blazers are projected to score the most points tonight and the Suns have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season. Batum made just two-of-seven shots on Tuesday yet finished with 34.5 fantasy points as he added eight rebounds, six assists, two blocks and a steal. And without LaMarcus Aldridge in the lineup, Batum went off for 52.5 fantasy points against the Suns just a couple of weeks ago. I don't expect another 50-point game against the Suns, but Batum's ability to rack up multiple statistical categories give him a strong chance to exceed value.

Others to consider: Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks ($5,700); Matt Barnes, Los Angeles Clippers ($4,200)

PF - Brandan Wright, Phoenix Suns (at POR), $3,000: Wright lacks upside as he has played only 17, 19, 19 and 22 minutes over his past four games, respectively. That said, the efficient Wright has a solid floor -- minimum of 16.0 fantasy points over those four games with an average of 19.5 per game over that four-game span -- to make him a viable punt option at the position at the contest-minimum salary.

Others to consider: Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks ($6,200); Markieff Morris, Phoenix Suns ($5,900); Cody Zeller, Charlotte Hornets ($5,300)

C - Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. LAC), $5,200: Mozgov has at least 21 fantasy points in eight of his past nine games and has averaged 27.81 per game (5.35x tonight's salary) over that nine-game span. Over that stretch, Mozgov has averaged 10.66 points, 8.78 rebounds, 2.0 blocks and 0.78 steals per game with four double-doubles. In addition, the Clippers have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.

Others to consider: Tyson Chandler, Dallas Mavericks ($6,400); Marcin Gortat, Washington Wizards ($5,000); Robin Lopez, Portland Trail Blazers ($4,400); Alex Len, Phoenix Suns ($3,200)

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Wednesday, February 4, 2015

Fantasy NBA FanDuel DFS Values (Feb. 4)

Earlier today, I posted my favorite value plays on DraftKings and now I turn my attention to FanDuel.

With that said, here are some FanDuel values (salaries of $7,000 or less) for Wednesday's NBA games:


PG - J.J. Barea, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $3,900: Once again (as it was with my DraftKings post), the primary debate here is between Barea and D.J. Augustin, who has at least 36 fantasy points in four of his past five games. With the two point guards in different salary ranges, however, both provide a solid option at those price points depending on the construction of the rest of your roster. Getting the start on Monday with Rajon Rondo out, Barea finished with 10 points, eight assists and four rebounds as he scored 25.8 fantasy points. Considering that Devin Harris (ankle, knee) is questionable, Barea may even see more than the 29 minutes he played on Monday. Either way, he's a strong value play as his sub-$4,000 salary in the game with tonight's highest over/under.

Others to consider: D.J. Augustin, Detroit Pistons ($7,000); Mike Conley, Memphis Grizzlies ($6,600); Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs ($5,500); Jordan Clarkson, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,800); Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics ($4,600); Jerryd Bayless (if Brandon Knight is out again), Milwaukee Bucks ($4,400)

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SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. OKC), $6,200: Gordon's salary on FanDuel is less than his DraftKings' price tag ($6,500), which is always favorable for his outlook on FD. Connecting on 9-of-13 three-pointers, Gordon has scored 35-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games. In addition, he has scored at least 22 fantasy points in 12 of his past 14 games with both exceptions being 19-point games demonstrating a solid floor. During that 14-game span, Gordon has averaged 16.29 points, 5.21 assists and 3.14 rebounds per game.

Others to consider: DeMar DeRozan, Toronto Raptors ($7,000); Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks ($6,200); Dion Waiters, Oklahoma City Thunder ($4,800);

SF - Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $6,100: As I noted in my DraftKings post, I tend to play Parsons on the wrong nights, but I will roll with Parsons in a number of tournament lineups tonight. Tonight's matchup is going to be an up-tempo game with a lot of real points and fantasy points alike and his price point should allow him to reach (and exceed) value. Parsons has connected on 10-of-17 three-pointers in his past three games and has now scored at least 23.9 fantasy points in seven of his eight games.

Others to consider: Andrew Wiggins, Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,900); Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks ($5,800); Wilson Chandler, Denver Nuggets ($5,700)

PF - Jared Sullinger, Boston Celtics (vs. DEN), $6,200: As much as I like Sullinger on DraftKings, I like him more on FanDuel (at $300 less) with a price tag roughly $500 less than the average starter salary ($6,667). After a one-game punishment (benching) for being late, Sully was back in the starting lineup last night and delivered 40.8 fantasy points against the Knicks front court. Tonight, he gets an even more favorable matchup against the Nuggets, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season. Over his past 19 games, Sullinger has scored 40-plus fantasy points six times and tonight gives him a great opportunity to make it 7-of-20.

Others to consider: Thaddeus Young, Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,800); David West, Indiana Pacers ($6,600); Kenneth Faried, Denver Nuggets ($6,400); Donatas Motiejunas, Houston Rockets ($5,800); John Henson, Milwaukee Bucks ($5,000); Ed Davis, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,900);

C - Tyson Chandler, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $6,700: With Joakim Noah priced above $7,000 on FanDuel (both are $6,400 on DraftKings), I need to go in a different direction here given my self-imposed salary limit. As noted earlier, tonight's game features the highest over-under and the Mavs are projected to be one of the higher-scoring teams tonight. Chandler has scored more than 31 fantasy points in back-to-back games and at least 25.6 fantasy points in four consecutive games.

Others to consider: Brook Lopez, Brooklyn Nets ($7,000)

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Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Feb. 4)

The best night of the week for the NBA and daily fantasy basketball purposes is Wednesday night. And making tonight better is that the lone late game, Mavericks at Warriors, has the highest over/under (216.5), by far.

Golden State vs. Dallas will tip off at 10:30 PM; all other games have a 9:00 PM start time (or earlier).

In addition to studs like Stephen Curry, some of my favorite value plays can be found in the final game of the night as well.

It's always a great feeling to be in a strong position in a tournament with a healthy allotment of PMR (player minutes remaining) and to watch your team(s) rise up the leaderboard.


With that said, here are my favorite DraftKings values ($6,500 salary or less) for Wednesday's NBA games:

PG - J.J. Barea, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $3,400: Not only is Rajon Rondo (face) ruled out for tonight, but Devin Harris (knee, ankle) is questionable for tonight's game. Either way, Barea got the start over Harris without Rondo on Monday and finished with 10 points, eight assists and four rebounds as he scored 26.5 fantasy points in 29 minutes. Even though the Mavs are nearly double-digit underdogs to the Warriors, there are still projected to be one of tonight's top-scoring teams with a Vegas-projected total of 103.5. The debate for favorite value point guard came down to Barea and D.J. Augustin, who has back-to-back 52-point games and three of them in his past five, but many of my lineups will feature both point guards.

Others to consider: D.J. Augustin, Detroit Pistons ($6,200); Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs ($5,500); Jordan Clarkson, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,800); Trey Burke, Utah Jazz ($4,600); Jerryd Bayless (if Brandon Knight is out), Milwaukee Bucks ($4,300); Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics ($3,700)

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SG - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. LAL), $5,800: The Bucks are dealing a bunch of injuries as Brandon Knight, Ersan Ilyasova and Zaza Pachulia all sat out in the team's last game, but the Greek Freak has been playing consistent minutes with strong production. Antetokounmpo has double-doubles in back-to-back games and 30-plus fantasy points in three consecutive games. In addition, he has played at least 33 minutes in six consecutive games.

Others to consider: Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans ($6,400); Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards ($6,000); Joe Johnson, Brooklyn Nets ($5,600); Kevin Martin, Minnesota Timberwolves ($5,500); Arron Afflalo, Denver Nuggets ($5,500); Dion Waiters, Oklahoma City Thunder ($4,500); Avery Bradley, Boston Celtics ($4,200)

SF - Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks (at GS), $5,700: Typically (and frustratingly), I tend to start Parsons when he flops. That said, tonight's game against the Warriors is going to be an up-tempo game with a lot of real points and fantasy points alike and his price point should allow him to reach (and exceed) value. Connecting on 10-of-17 three-pointers in his past three games, Parsons has now scored more than 30 fantasy points in back-to-back games with at least 26.5 fantasy points in seven of his eight games. Of course, he was in many of my lineups in the one exception (5.75 fantasy points) during that eight-game span. (Perhaps my inclusion of Parsons on this list is your cue to stay as far away as you can.)

Others to consider: Wilson Chandler, Denver Nuggets ($5,700); Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks ($5,600); Josh Smith, Houston Rockets ($5,300); Luol Deng, Miami Heat ($5,000); Jared Dudley (if he starts again), Milwaukee Bucks ($4,500);

PF - Jared Sullinger, Boston Celtics (vs. DEN), $6,500: After a one-game punishment (benching) for being late, Sully was back in the starting lineup last night and delivered 41.75 fantasy points against the Knicks front court. Tonight, he gets an even more favorable matchup against the Nuggets, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season. Over the past 14 games (minus the one-game benching), Sullinger has scored more than 25 fantasy points in every game.

Others to consider: David West, Indiana Pacers ($6,300); Kenneth Faried, Denver Nuggets ($6,200); Donatas Motiejunas, Houston Rockets ($5,600); John Henson, Milwaukee Bucks ($5,000); Kris Humphries, Washington Wizards ($4,600); Patrick Patterson, Toronto Raptors ($4,300); Ed Davis, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,200)

C - Joakim Noah, Chicago Bulls (at HOU), $6,400: Over a one-week span (Sat., Jan. 31st to Fri., Feb. 6th), the Bulls will play only one game -- tonight against the Dwight Howard-less Rockets. Over his past three games, Noah has scored a minimum of 34.5 fantasy points and averaged 43.5 fantasy points. During that three-game span, he averaged 12.0 points, 14.0 rebounds and 6.67 assists with a block and a steal per game.

Others to consider: Brook Lopez, Brooklyn Nets ($6,300); Robert Sacre, Los Angeles Lakers ($3,300)

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Sunday, April 6, 2014

Daily Fantasy Basketball: FanDuel Values for April 6th

If you play daily fantasy sports (and who doesn't these days?!), you know that one of the keys to success is uncovering undervalued players to allow you to load up on studs elsewhere.

In case you've never played daily fantasy basketball, every player has a salary and your roster cannot exceed the game's salary-cap maximum.

For FanDuel leagues, rosters consist of nine players and the salary cap is $60,000, which averages to roughly $6,667 per player. To give you an idea of the range for Sunday's games, Thunder SF Kevin Durant ($11,900) has the contest's highest salary while many are tied for the lowest at the game-minimum salary ($3,500).

There are a number of benefits compared to traditional full-season re-draft leagues, such as:
  • you don't have to worry about being saddled by players sidelined by injury;
  • having a late pick doesn't rule out owning studs like Kevin Durant or LeBron James;
  • you get the instant gratification of winning your league(s) that night.
And you know that enthusiasm you have after drafting your fantasy team(s)? Well, you get to experience that feeling on a nightly basis with daily fantasy basketball.

OK, with the preliminary stuff out of the way, here are some value plays to consider for Sunday (April 6th) FanDuel leagues:

PG - Jeff Teague, Atlanta Hawks (at IND), $6,500: Teague has put up 35-plus fantasy points in back-to-back outings while averaging 20.5 points and 10.0 assists. While the Pacers have been excellent at defending point guards this season, they have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards over the past 15 days.

PG - Darren Collison, Los Angeles Clippers (vs. LAL), $6,200: While Chris Paul is a must-start as a stud with a great matchup, Collison should be considered here as well especially if Jamal Crawford misses another game. Collison has scored at least 30 fantasy points in four consecutive games and has averaged 21.0 points, 4.5 assists, 3.25 rebounds and 2.75 steals during that stretch.

PG - Reggie Jackson, Oklahoma City Thunder (at PHO), $6,000: Since missing two games, Jackson has averaged 15.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists in his past two games. In addition, Jackson has now scored at least 25 fantasy points in six consecutive games.

PG - Ray McCallum, Sacramento Kings (vs. DAL), $5,500: With Isaiah Thomas sidelined, McCallum has averaged 45 minutes and 31.15 fantasy points per game over his past six. During that span, he has averaged 15.33 points, 7.17 assists, 3.67 rebounds and 1.17 steals per game.

PG - Mario Chalmers, Miami Heat (vs. NYK), $5,100: Chalmers is coming off one of his best games (24 points, six assists and six rebounds) against the Timberwolves in double-OT. Since missing a couple of games, he has averaged 29.7 fantasy points per game over his past three.

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SG - Randy Foye, Denver Nuggets (at HOU), $5,700: Foye has scored more than 30 fantasy points in two of his past three games. During that span, he is averaging 14.33 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game. This season, the Rockets have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards.

SG - Jodie Meeks, Los Angeles Lakers (at LAC), $5,700: Meeks had a cold shooting night on April Fool's Day, but he has scored at least 21 (real) points and 25.1 fantasy points in three of his other four most recent games.

SG - Anthony Morrow, New Orleans Pelicans (at POR), $4,400: Morrow has scored 20 or more (real) points in four of his past six games and 30 or more fantasy points three times during that stretch.

SG - Devin Harris, Dallas Mavericks (vs. SAC), $4,100: Harris has averaged close to 20 fantasy points per game over his past two games and he gets a favorable matchup on Sunday. Only the Lakers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

SF - Chandler Parsons, Houston Rockets (vs. DEN), $7,000: Parsons has scored at least 31.6 fantasy points in five consecutive games and in seven of his past eight. During that eight-game span, he has averaged 18.63 points, 6.5 rebounds, 4.25 assists and 1.25 steals per game. The Nuggets have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

SF - Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors (vs. UTA), $4,900: Green had a double-double (10 points and 10 rebounds) on Friday while adding four assists, two blocks and two steals for 35 fantasy points. A multi-category contributor, Green has scored 30-plus fantasy points in two of his past three and has at least 26.6 fantasy points in each of those three games.

SF - Harrison Barnes, Golden State Warriors (vs. UTA), $3,500: Provided David Lee misses another game, Barnes and Green could both be in store for big games. Barnes has played at least 36 minutes in each of his past two games and he scored 27.1 fantasy points on Friday.

PF - Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz (at GS), $6,700: Favors has scored at least 28 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. During that stretch, he has averaged 13.71 points, 11.0 rebounds, 2.57 blocks and 1.14 steals per game.

PF - Jordan Hill, Los Angeles Lakers (at LAC), $5,600: After sitting out on April 1st, Hill has scored 43.0 and 32.5 fantasy points in his past two games. Playing in eight of the team's past nine games, Hill has 31-plus fantasy points in five games and less than 19 fantasy points three times.

PF - Marreese Speights, Golden State Warriors (vs. UTA), $3,800: With Lee out, Speights has started and produced in his past two outings. He followed up a 22/9 outing with a double-double (12 points and 10 rebounds) on Friday.

C - Robin Lopez, Portland Trail Blazers (vs. NOP), $5,900: With back-to-back double-doubles and three of them in his past six games, Lopez has averaged 33.82 fantasy points, a double-double (13.5 points, 10.33 rebounds) and 3.0 blocks per game during that stretch.

C - Omer Asik, Houston Rockets (vs. DEN), $5,100: Asik has scored at least 25 fantasy points in four consecutive games and he's averaging 10.5 points and 15.25 boards per game during that stretch. Only the Lakers and 76ers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing centers than the Nuggets this season.

C - Miles Plumlee, Phoenix Suns (vs. OKC), $3,700: Plumlee has scored at least 23.9 fantasy points in three of his past four games. The Thunder are one of the better teams in the league at defending centers, but Plumlee has been productive and he's priced barely above the contest minimum.

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Saturday, March 1, 2014

Daily Fantasy Basketball (March 1st): DraftStreet Advice

In 2013, FantasyPros invited experts to compete in a daily fantasy football competition in which they tracked the accuracy of the experts.

Of the 59 experts tracked, our three experts within that group all finished in the top third: Sean Beazley (eighth), Dan Yanotchko (16th) and yours truly (17th).

Hopefully you have noticed that I have begun posting daily value plays in FanDuel NBA daily leagues (and you can see my post for tonight's games here).

Going forward, Sean will be provided some thoughts about DraftStreet leagues and here are some of his thoughts for tonight's games on DraftStreet:
Value Play of the Night: Reggie Evans - F - Sacramento - $5,325

Evans' teammate Derrick Williams was the sleeper stud of the night coming in with 41 FP. DeMarcus Cousins is back tonight, which means Williams will go to the bench. In limited minutes, Evans is more valuable than Williams due to his beast rebounding ability. Evans only needs around 15 FP to hit value tonight. I think Evans could be in line for a nice 20-25 point night.

Injury Watch: Will Bynum - G - Detroit - $9,272

Starting PG Brandon Jennings is questionable for the game tonight with a toe injury. If Jennings is able to go, I might back Bynum out of a few GPP's, but I still think he has great value in a game that should be very high scoring. This is the highest total of the night at 217.

Rebound of the Night: Chandler Parsons - F - Houston - $13,248

As mentioned above, this game should be very high scoring. The Rockets are in the bottom quarter of the teams in the NBA vs. small forwards. Parsons has been miserable the last two games combining for a total of 32 FP. I think Parsons has upside of 40 tonight against the Pistons, especially if the Pistons go big with Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe and Josh Smith all on the court.

Stud of the Night: John Wall - G -Washington - $19,412

Wall comes at a pretty hefty price tag tonight, but out of all the players 19K and up, he is my favorite. Wall will be licking his chops tonight against the 76ers, who rank dead last against PGs this year. Wall could be in line for a career night. I'm expecting 50 FP from Wall tonight.
Put Sean's advice to use in a DraftStreet league.

If you play in full-season leagues, check out my rest-of-season Fantasy NBA rankings.

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